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Wednesday, June 19 2013
Pinning Down Hollande
IT was one of those rare political moments when the campaign- screech and repetitive mumbling stopped. Last week, a French television interviewer asked Francois Hollande, the favourite to win France's presidential election on Sunday, if he thought there were too many foreigners ...
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US jobless claims record biggest 1-year weekly fall

REUTERS

NEW YORK THE number of Americans filing new claims for jobless aid dropped by the most in a year last week, easing fears the labour market recovery was stalling.

But separate data on the vast US services sector was less upbeat, with the rate of growth slowing more than expected and a gauge of employment falling to its lowest level in four months.

The bigger-than-expected decline in new claims helped lift some of the dark cloud cast over the labour market by data from payroll processor ADP on Wednesday that showed private employers in April created the fewest jobs in seven months.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 27,000 to a seasonally adjusted 365,000, the Labour Department said on Thursday. It was the biggest weekly drop in claims since early May last year “This offsets the concerns from yesterday’s ADP number. You’re getting mixed signals ... It might not be as bad as we were thinking after ADP,” said Phil Flynn, a senior market analyst at PFG Best in Chicago.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims falling to 380,000 last week. The four-week average of new claims, considered a better of measure of labour market trends, rose 750 to 383,500 - the highest level since December.

Last week’s jobless claims data falls outside the survey week for April payrolls and thus has no direct bearing on the closely watched government report on employment to be released on Friday.

According to a Reuters survey, that report is expected to show employers added 170,000 new jobs last month, an improvement over March’s disappointing 120,000.

However, there is a downside risk to this forecast. Initial claims were elevated for much of April and the ADP survey showed private employers added only 119,000 jobs last month.

Analysts said the drop in the service sector employment gauge also added to that risk.

The Institute for Supply Management said its services index fell to 53.5 last month from 56.0 in March, missing economists’ forecasts for a modest decline to 55.5
A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector. The services sector accounts for about twothirds of USeconomic activity. The forward-looking new orders index dropped to 53.5 from 58.8, while the employment gauge slipped to the lowest level since December at 54.2 from 56.7.

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